Sunday, September 8, 2013

Moore's Law and ECON 101

Moore's Law, named after Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, states that the number of transistors that can be placed on an integrated circuit doubles roughly every two years. For decades, chipmakers have succeeded in shrinking chip geometries, allowing Moore's Law to remain on track.

Intel has already begun discussing commercial 10-nanometer technology, which is expected to ramp up in 2015. But Intel component scientists have also said that it's not clear what technology will be used beyond 7 nanometers.

Even if technical obstacles are overcome, if this is achieved at too great a cost, it may still not make sense to proceed along the traditional silicon-based path. In other words, success will be achieved only when physical and economic dimensions are satisfied.